aspg-1-1542-1791417849 20261008000409 American Scientific Publishing Group admin@americaspg.com American Scientific Publishing Group American Journal of Business and Operations Research AJBOR 2770-0216 2692-2967 2023 8 2 Basant Sameh Department of Communications and Electronics, Delta Higher Institute of Engineering and Technology, Mansoura 35111, Egypt Mahmoud Elshabrawy Department of Communications and Electronics, Delta Higher Institute of Engineering and Technology, Mansoura 35111, Egypt This study investigates the application of time series models, specifically ARIMA (Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average) and SARIMAX (Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average with eXogenous regressors), in the context of climate change. The ARIMA and SARIMAX models are mathematical methods that can be used to forecast future values of a time series related to climate change, taking into account trends and seasonality, as well as incorporating additional information through exogenous variables. The paper also delves into the mathematical foundations of the ARIMA and SARIMAX models, including the various operators used to eliminate trends, the use of lag polynomials to represent the autoregressive and moving average components of the model, and the incorporation of exogenous variables in the SARIMAX model. The study aims to provide a better understanding of the use of these models in analyzing and predicting the effects of climate change. 2023 25 35 1542 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ 10.54216/AJBOR.080203 https://www.americaspg.com/journal/1/article/1542 https://www.americaspg.com/storage/21761780229.pdf