aspg-21-1855-1791468698 20261008141138 American Scientific Publishing Group admin@americaspg.com American Scientific Publishing Group International Journal of Neutrosophic Science IJNS 2692-6148 2690-6805 2023 21 2 Aziza Usmanova Tashkent State University of Economics, Uzbekistan The aim of this paper is to analyze how economic growth and fiscal policy impact on poverty rate in Uzbekistan. To reach this aim neutrosophic-AHP method was applied together with two time series models, namely Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) and Vector Autoregression (VAR) models. The statistical data of Uzbekistan over the period of 2000-2021 was used. Neutrosophic-AHP served as a basis for time series analysis. In accordance with AIC and BIC criteria, VAR was chosen as the most adequate model. Results of VAR model showed that a poverty rate has a delay effect on two years, when the increase of the second lag of poverty difference by one unit also increased current poverty difference by 0.501 units. Also, it was revealed that economic growth affects poverty adversely with delay in one lag, whereas taxes – with two lags. Interesting situation occurred with government expenditures, which impacted negatively on poverty after a one-year lag, but positively after two lags. 2023 107 117 1855 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ 10.54216/IJNS.210210 https://www.americaspg.com/journal/21/article/1855 https://www.americaspg.com/storage/81687262131.pdf