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20261006070741
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American Scientific Publishing Group
International Journal of Neutrosophic Science
IJNS
2692-6148
2690-6805
2026
27
1
Time Series Forecasting of Energy Consumption Using Advanced Neutrosophic Statistical and Machine Learning Models
Ammar Kuti
Nasser
College of Basic Education , Mustansiriyah University, Iraq
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Predicting future energy consumption plays a vital role in maximizing resource utilization, reducing costs, and enhancing sustainability. Researchers employ advanced statistical and machine learning models to improve the accuracy of time series forecasting. Real-world energy consumption data is analyzed using State-Space Models (SSMs), Vector Auto Regression (VAR), Structural VAR (SVAR), Generalized Additive Models for Location, Scale, and Shape (GAMLSS), and Bayesian Structural Time Series (BSTS). An evaluation of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks and the Prophet model is conducted alongside a comparison with the aforementioned models. The proposed method integrates neutrosophic statistical models for feature extraction and residual analysis, generating outputs suitable for machine learning processing. The results indicate that incorporating judgment-based neutrosophic statistical approaches with AI-driven neutrosophic prediction models yields superior forecasts of power consumption, contributing to more comprehensive and effective energy usage prediction methodologies.
2026
73
84
3961
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
10.54216/IJNS.270107
https://www.americaspg.com/journal/21/article/3961
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https://www.americaspg.com/storage/11753397334.pdf