Fractional-Order SEIR Model for COVID-19: Finite-Time Stability Analysis and Numerical Validation
This paper investigates a fractional-order SEIR model to study the dynamics of infectious diseases, specifically COVID-19, by incorporating memory effects through fractional derivatives. The model’s formulation enhances the understanding of epidemic dynamics by considering disease transmission, recovery, and mortality rates under fractional calculus. Stability analyses are conducted for the disease-free equilibrium (DFE) and the pandemic fixed point (PFP), identifying critical conditions for finite-time stability using Lyapunov functions and fractional derivatives. Numerical simulations validate theoretical findings, demonstrating finitetime stabilization around the equilibrium points under realistic parameter settings. The results underscore the advantages of fractional-order modeling in capturing complex epidemic dynamics and highlight its potential to inform public health intervention strategies.
Volume & Issue
Vol. Volume 26 / Iss. Issue 1