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Time Series Forecasting of Cryptocurrency Prices with Long Short-Term Memory Networks

The rapid evolution of cryptocurrencies has brought transformative changes to the financial landscape. Cryptocurrency prices, characterized by their inherent volatility, pose challenges for precise forecasting. This study introduces a novel approach to cryptocurrency price forecasting, leveraging Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, known for discerning temporal dependencies within time series data. Motivated to enhance prediction accuracy, this research investigates the effectiveness of LSTM networks in capturing complexities inherent in cryptocurrency price movements. The proposed methodology involves meticulous data collection and preprocessing, utilizing an extensive dataset from Kaggle. This dataset forms the foundation for predictive modeling and facilitates an in-depth analysis of cryptocurrency price dynamics. Exploratory data analysis, including visualization techniques, and a dedicated Time Series Analysis precede the implementation of predictive models, such as LSTM networks. Results and evaluation showcase promising outcomes, emphasizing the models' precision, accuracy, and explanatory power. The Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.0177 underscores the precision achieved in predicting cryptocurrency prices, while the Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 0.00066 and the R² Score of 0.9486 attest to our models' overall accuracy and explanatory power. This research significantly contributes to understanding cryptocurrency forecasting by incorporating LSTM networks, paving the way for advancements in this evolving domain.

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El-Sayed M. El-Kenawy mail -
Abdelaziz A. Abdelhamid mail -
Abdelhameed Ibrahim mail -
Marwa M. Eid mail -
Faris H. Rizk mail -
Ahmed Mohamed Zaki mail
link https://doi.org/10.54216/FinTech-I.020202

Volume & Issue

Vol. Volume 2 / Iss. Issue 2

Details open_in_new

A Comprehensive Exploration of Machine Learning Models for Predicting Online Auction Prices

The transformative impact of traditional commerce by online marketplaces is exemplified through eBay, a global platform that facilitates diverse transactions via auctions. In this research, the dynamics of eBay auctions, crucial for buyers, sellers, and researchers, are delved into. The central inquiry revolves around the key factors shaping auction outcomes, examining bid behaviors and types. The study leverages a robust dataset from eBay, meticulously curated to encompass auction identifiers, bid details, pricing information, auction types, and temporal aspects. A comprehensive approach involves data preprocessing, ensuring reliability by addressing missing values and outliers. Rigorous exploration and validation validate the dataset's integrity. Machine Learning Techniques, including MLP, SVR, Linear Regression, Extra Trees, and Gradient Boosting, form the analytical backbone. Model evaluation reveals top-performing candidates, such as MLP Regressor (0.8084), SVR (0.8210), and Linear Regression (0.8173), exhibiting superior accuracy and reliability. These models are identified for adoption in future work, emphasizing nuanced predictions in eBay auctions. This research contributes to understanding online auction dynamics, offering practical insights for eBay users and the broader e-commerce community. The models identified pave the way for enhanced predictive capabilities and continuous refinement in deciphering factors influencing auction outcomes.

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Ahmed Mohamed Zaki mail -
Abdelaziz A. Abdelhamid mail -
Abdelhameed Ibrahim mail -
Marwa M. Eid mail -
El-Sayed M. El-Kenawy mail
link https://doi.org/10.54216/FinTech-I.020203

Volume & Issue

Vol. Volume 2 / Iss. Issue 2

Details open_in_new

Homomorphisms and anti-homomorphisms of neutrosophic INK-algebras

This article presents the concepts of neutrosophic INK-subalgebras and INK-ideals of INK-algebras. We also studied neutrosophic INK-subalgebras and INK-ideals that depend on homomorphisms and anti-homomorphisms.

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Remala Mounikalakshmi mail -
T. Eswarlal mail -
Venkata Kalyani U. mail -
Aiyared Iampan mail
link https://doi.org/10.54216/IJNS.230128

Volume & Issue

Vol. Volume 23 / Iss. Issue 1

Details open_in_new

Supply Chain Resilience in the Face of Disruptive Events: An Operations Research Perspective

In today’s ever-changing world the ability of supply chains to withstand disruptions is crucial for businesses to maintain operations. This paper focuses on supply chain resilience, from an Operations Research perspective exploring how theoretical frameworks and practical applications work together to strengthen supply chains against events. By analyzing a dataset related to Makeup product supply chains this study demonstrates the effectiveness of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks in capturing time patterns and highlights the importance of data normalization in improving accuracy. Comparing models trained on normalized and unnormalized data provides insights into the significance of preprocessing techniques in predicting outcomes within the Fashion and Beauty industry. Additionally, this study combines theory with real-world case studies underscoring the importance of risk management, adaptive decision-making, and resilient network design. With the integration of methodological consistency, and applicability, we demonstrate the significance of our approach in sustaining supply chain resilience against disruptive events.

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Rehab Mohamed mail -
Mahmoud Ismail mail
link https://doi.org/10.54216/AJBOR.000202

Volume & Issue

Vol. Volume 0 / Iss. Issue 2

Details open_in_new

Operational Risk Management: Integrating Big Data Analytics for Proactive Decision-Making

The impact of climate change has made responsible risk management a major research topic during the past 20 years. In conjunction with societal problems that affect the economies and cultures in which they function, industrial risks can release dangerous pollutants into the natural world. Advances in information and communication technology, particularly big data analytics, can contribute to the creation of fresh perspectives that enable the detection of business risks whose operations are unstable and the implementation of remedial actions. Although risk management has been the subject of numerous research, there are few that examine the impact of BDA. This study strives to offer a big data analytic framework that integrates a pipeline of statistical testing, data visualization, and machine learning algorithms to interpret market information. The applicability of our framework in recognizing and managing risks is demonstrated through a case study of the global commodity market. Extensive proof-of-concept experimentations validated the efficiency and effectiveness of the argued framework by providing useful insights about market behavior, which can lead the decision-making process to get informed risk management.

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Irina V. Pustokhina mail -
Denis A. Pustokhin mail
link https://doi.org/10.54216/AJBOR.000203

Volume & Issue

Vol. Volume 0 / Iss. Issue 2

Details open_in_new

Strategic Resource Allocation in Project Management: A Data-Driven Framework

Effective project management relies on smart resource allocation strategies that navigate the complexities, in project dynamics. However, it is important to consider factors when choosing projects for a portfolio and allocating resources to that portfolio. In this paper, we present a data-driven framework for strategic resource allocation in project management. By using the Fuzzy TOPSIS method this framework combines evaluations into a model improving decision-making accuracy. Our study identifies ten factors that contribute to project complexity and transforms opinions into fuzzy numbers to evaluate project performance. When we applied this framework to five projects, we gained insights into how they align with established criteria resulting in nuanced rankings based on calculated closeness coefficients. This research lays the foundation for resource allocation strategies by advocating for the integration of dynamic data sources and advanced analytical techniques. The goal is to enhance adaptability and facilitate implementation, within project management paradigms.

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Abedallah Z. Abualkishik mail -
Rasha Almajed mail
link https://doi.org/10.54216/AJBOR.000204

Volume & Issue

Vol. Volume 0 / Iss. Issue 2

Details open_in_new

Data-Driven Business Intelligence for Operational Customer Churn Management

In today’s data driven world businesses face a challenge in protecting customer strategies from operational churn. This paper explores the realm of data driven business intelligence with a focus on predicting and managing customer churn through analysis of analytics methods. Recognizing that customer attrition poses a threat to business sustainability, our research aims to harness the power of methods and discriminant analysis techniques. We examine Gradient Boosting Classifier, Ada Boost Classifier and Linear Discriminant Analysis to unravel patterns in customer behavior and predict churn likelihood. By utilizing a dataset that includes details about customer services account specifics and demographics we adopt an approach. Our comparative analysis of machine learning classifiers underscores their effectiveness in identifying patterns within the dataset. Importantly our findings emphasize the potential of machine learning as a strategy for managing churn.

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Dina K. Hassan mail -
Ahmed K. Metawee mail
link https://doi.org/10.54216/AJBOR.000205

Volume & Issue

Vol. Volume 0 / Iss. Issue 2

Details open_in_new

Embracing the Challenges and Opportunities of Financial Management in an AI-Dominated Business Environment

In this work, we describe an adaptive financial management strategy, tailor-made to meet the demands of, and capitalize on, an economy ruled by AI. The suggested solution combines three essential algorithms: LSTM-based machine learning for economic forecasting; SHAP-based explainable AI for openness in decision-making; and blockchain technology with proof-of-work (PoW) security. This LSTM-based method handles the sequential data often seen in time series analysis, which is crucial for effective financial forecasting. It is particularly effective at identifying complex interrelationships in financial time series data, providing a solid basis for reliable forecasting. By giving each feature in a prediction model an equal amount of weight, the SHAP algorithm improves the openness of decisions. The experimental results confirm the superiority of the suggested technique over the conventional methods. It uses dynamic Machine Learning models, in particular LSTM networks, to provide more precise economic forecasts than static models based on averages. Using SHAP, explainable AI solves the problem of interpretability that plagues conventional techniques, allowing for more open deliberation. The combination of Blockchain with PoW gives better security, overcoming the risks of centralized systems employed in previous approaches. The suggested adaptive strategy provides a comprehensive and robust framework for managing finances in a world controlled by artificial intelligence.

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Sanjay Kumar Suman mail
link https://doi.org/10.54216/FinTech-I.020201

Volume & Issue

Vol. Volume 2 / Iss. Issue 2

Details open_in_new

Beyond Negation and Excluded Middle: An exploration to Embrace the Otherness Beyond Classical Logic System and into Neutrosophic Logic

As part of our small contribution in dialogue toward better peace development and reconciliation studies, and following Toffler & Toffler’s War and Antiwar (1993), the present article delves into a realm of logic beyond the traditional confines of negation and the excluded middle principle, exploring the nuances of "Otherness" that transcend classical and Nagatomo logics. Departing from the foundational premises of classical Aristotelian logic systems, this exploration ventures into alternative realms of reasoning, specifically examining Neutrosophic Logic and Klein bottle logic (cf. Smarandache, 2005). The study challenges conventional boundaries and explores the implications of embracing paradoxes and self-reference in logic systems, aiming to redefine approaches to understanding truth and reasoning. The paper investigates how these alternative logics open avenues for philosophical inquiry, redefining entropy, and potentially influencing innovative perspectives in free energy systems. Through this exploration, it seeks to expand the discourse on logic, welcoming a broader spectrum of thought beyond established frameworks; and we also discuss shortly a number of possible implementations including in risk management and also Klein bottle entropy redefinition (Tang et al, 2018).

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Florentin Smarandache mail -
Victor Christianto mail
link https://doi.org/10.54216/PAMDA.020204

Volume & Issue

Vol. Volume 2 / Iss. Issue 2

Details open_in_new

Leveraging Blockchain Technology to Transform Traditional Marketing Strategies into Secure and Efficient Practices

The suggested approach, dubbed Blockchain-Enabled Secure Marketing (BESM), utilizes blockchain technology to usher in a new age in digital advertising. To solve the problems that have plagued marketing in the past, BESM combines three cutting-edge algorithms: Decentralized Identity Verification (DIVA), Consensus-Driven Targeting (CDTA), and Immutable Performance Analytics (IPAA). DIVA offers user privacy and security via decentralized identity verification, leveraging cryptographic hashes and digital signatures. CDTA revolutionizes audience selection by combining consensus-driven decision-making, encouraging accuracy and democratic involvement. IPAA protects marketing performance metrics on the blockchain, making all of the data contained within immutable and public. The results of these experiments show that BESM is superior to conventional approaches, and that it provides superior data security, user privacy, efficiency, and transparency. Algorithms as a whole strengthen the marketing ecosystem by making it more reliable and customer-focused landscapes.

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Ankita Nigam mail
link https://doi.org/10.54216/FinTech-I.020204

Volume & Issue

Vol. Volume 2 / Iss. Issue 2

Details open_in_new